Tag: Market Theories

Probability Distribution Of Stocks
Mar 20

The TRUE Probability Distribution of Stock Market Returns

The goal of a trader is to best possibly position him/herself to maximize their chances of winning. To do this, it is crucial that you as a trader understand the underlying probability distributions of stock market returns. Without having a good understanding of price distributions, you might base your entire trading approach on completely flawed assumptions. This can have detrimental consequences and is one reason for financial crashes and crises. The purpose of this article Read more

Is The Stock Market Predictable
Mar 11

Is The Stock Market Predictable? The Random Walk Theory

What does the stock market have in common with random movement? The Random Walk Theory says everything. According to the Random Walk Theory stock price changes happen in a so-called random walk. This means they are entirely random and therefore cannot be predicted in any way, shape, or form. Due to its implications, this is a very controversial theory that has sparked a lot of debates, even among well-known economists and traders. Research studies exist Read more

Efficient Market Hypothesis Wrong
Mar 02

Is The Market Efficient?

A very well-known and controversial market theory is the Efficient Market Hypothesis. It states that markets are efficient which means that all available information is always reflected in an asset’s price. The controversial implication of this would be that it is impossible to reliably beat the overall market because it isn’t possible to find any under or overvalued assets. If this is true, it would make the act of actively analyzing and searching for potentially Read more